Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 3:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 3:06:00 P.M. to 08/03/2026, 3:07:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
29% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 36.25
Unexplained QUAI: 88.62
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
124.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 125 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 3:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (71% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (29%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
24.41 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796
Net receiver
Unknown type
14.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
11.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
11.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006E050B678551C85D1Dc9CC2Dfa7A7822919fAc
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:05:32 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
124.87 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:06:43 P.M.
-2 min
24 tx
2,381.9 QUAI • 42 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:04:21 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
29,013.36 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:07:54 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate51 tx
31,548.45 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:03:07 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
4.45 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:09:05 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
2,041.21 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:01:55 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:10:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
14.11 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 3:06:42 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
14.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 3:06:42 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796
Tx: 0x004900452ac11ab014e2e4f3cc5a7df33ec29835a7c203a9946b6f31cd354fcb
10.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 3:06:25 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x006E050B678551C85D1Dc9CC2Dfa7A7822919fAc
Tx: 0x004000033281a7c09ac1fe7b66c61bb4f0230a1013f7cd08644310db337d6baf
11.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 3:06:25 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x006000131b290f580f71ca3447dad540665d1311a6d41f28ab814c38677da7c7