Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 1:44:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 1:44:00 P.M. to 08/03/2026, 1:45:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 81.94
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
80.6 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C • 0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 81 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C • 0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 1:44:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
80.6 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004C7201B82c2388bc58215eB39d644deBD02cA8
Net receiver
Unknown type
30.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004f8b6f0bB040a6a1c34FE13ad1D7D58d2aD2A1
Net receiver
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
556.97 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:43:41 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:42:31 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
80.6 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:44:52 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:46:03 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
59.82 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:41:20 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:47:14 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0.11 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:40:09 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
15,564.95 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:48:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
49.93 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 1:44:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 1:44:55 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x004f8b6f0bB040a6a1c34FE13ad1D7D58d2aD2A1
Tx: 0x00200008e331560266bc6fad77adc03ccae141297429e6de71582de74b49f096
30.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 1:44:14 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x004C7201B82c2388bc58215eB39d644deBD02cA8
Tx: 0x007b00263bb7c626f4099e70d85048a765fc509c206287027b16e830a93bfb5e
49.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 1:44:00 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04
Tx: 0x0072001109983508be2ebb87acb895d97696b7d4f522a1e5ed94efd7e4823931