Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 12:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 12:04:00 P.M. to 08/03/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 37,345.02
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
35x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
21
Observable rows
21
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
37,345.02 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 37345 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 21 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 12:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 21 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005875C95616D5362076171e427279D75cD4D4f1
Net sender
Unknown type
15,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075438f84e17136533D75dFc8918A588Fed0e9B
Net receiver
Unknown type
15,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,777.49 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,777.49 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
53 tx
3,190.21 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/03/2026, 12:03:56 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
1,082 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/03/2026, 12:02:44 P.M.
+1 min
21 tx
37,345.02 QUAI • 37 addresses
08/03/2026, 12:05:08 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 12:06:20 P.M.
-3 min
51 tx
2,024.63 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/03/2026, 12:01:27 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/03/2026, 12:00:15 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
62,962 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 12:07:31 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
1,109.21 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 11:59:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.16 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:38 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
21 transactions
101.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:50 P.M.
From: 0x0076b2AC490BcdD5a99aC0450ebc8712C966b6a9
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a004d7f6eceb169db2de720267ca4fb4760b91f4e9e05a6f0a12af02f9232
100.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:50 P.M.
From: 0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004e003909c3c3a8b7062208db9fbd00b2318bbb6578c2b47ac09ce546fff7e0
101.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:50 P.M.
From: 0x002536BB0CcD07e62c83B286069BA9f73250eaA0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0001000d843d82727e8ee77bd94c5739822dcd5ab79154fced848743865918dc
1,071.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:50 P.M.
From: 0x00444F330Fdae483818B4939CfC0f1Dd1aA4E0f0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000c00741201e1882c2312108d76620d1f2e327b6e1de63171e6c6297b2ae387
403.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:50 P.M.
From: 0x005ad112DE8105AB7783225CA2c5A912aAc48381
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001700465bba2fd2a936c94ebc533dd3998afcf9fce334865c8d01677fa2111f
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:50 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x00587Ab1926bf7c705ED745B5E15F512DFF4BC3F
Tx: 0x003f00744a37177b4d8e25bdce546ad4433f130397351b5020643403165bd956
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:50 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0032004f7de88d76604a48883ea576e615af0a854ca3a2a901f270487e581cad
18.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:38 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796
Tx: 0x00440028fef5c5cb3357367ddeb3d6ae7680016a0b52506866a031d5823f5afc
19,999.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:38 P.M.
From: 0x0004bd2675df7f120FfF0F14a31E203C449B4B81
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x006f006483358f12308396d6aaa467232d0c15312809b3b93f87ab2a24b73eb1
15,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:38 P.M.
From: 0x005875C95616D5362076171e427279D75cD4D4f1
To: 0x0075438f84e17136533D75dFc8918A588Fed0e9B
Tx: 0x001d005c880a8852db4a156a7d35d3813e79f080059ed7b6c0493c476c4ac745
8.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:28 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x003000632c8ed9b43a6e0850f22ec7a03e1042300e05aa2fd223118de79d67b8
15.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:28 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0037c62591E143Ca54F3B8BeDeB4bD5e22ddbD6d
Tx: 0x00510009aec42b58f84480c926a53d21104db92a26c59be7ee71ec07c640399a
25.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:28 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x003a002c92eee9dcaf5ea5f628f033650a6290f157a8be77f3514abb9bd3fd57
298.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:28 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Tx: 0x006e003be050ffd0edfd32365d02da330067a8e21d6a6955f936394f84d631d8
26.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:28 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x000b002fb3c702fd83a2fd1b73abe39b3795a7aecce89565bb8036526cf4858f
132.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:28 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0034007a28eca44ca69903c12443af3ba23715fdd2a0e1736e2dab5c9f631634
6.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:28 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x001b00624d6bf8db9cf629d6efdd2c3cf4fcc6879a1d5af69210027c09ef86eb
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x0000a98aC87999a7fa21627A5611550277108bf3
Tx: 0x0008003415d7cde963741bf2e397ea076cef0be3fb49140f6b5798e826f5318d
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:19 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x003586a9F1c25e1EFB2A8d36DBa4E6d8965C5C7f
Tx: 0x0041004749755ccfcadd043b7c3559d0754bdc10e504a479f306dc413c715083
31.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:19 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x002a3e5E8fAD443A92BCC5171C5c5699147C4528
Tx: 0x003c003d2577179f1213eacbdd1bf2a69cf97c96752b2b6b1290ad47cb76798e
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:04:19 P.M.
From: 0x004c09e90ED1221F4071b91Ebb4dd2bc1d597C0A
To: 0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9
Tx: 0x00770003916ff705466139b46ff58ef5a44ef8c25e63f6742c4328765fab5bb3