Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 12:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 12:03:00 P.M. to 08/03/2026, 12:04:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
18% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 588.14
Unexplained QUAI: 2,602.07
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
0.6x above local average
1.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
53
Observable rows
2
3.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
66
Asset volume
3,190.21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C • 0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 3190 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C • 0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 12:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (82% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (18%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
588.14 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4
Net receiver
Unknown type
556.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000bE86AA877d70aa756D4b243cDd693c3B4857c
Net receiver
Unknown type
31.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
1,082 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/03/2026, 12:02:44 P.M.
+1 min
53 tx
3,190.21 QUAI • 66 addresses
08/03/2026, 12:03:56 P.M.
-2 min
51 tx
2,024.63 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/03/2026, 12:01:27 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate21 tx
37,345.02 QUAI • 37 addresses
08/03/2026, 12:05:08 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/03/2026, 12:00:15 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 12:06:20 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1,109.21 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 11:59:04 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
350 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/03/2026, 11:57:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
556.97 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:03:32 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
31.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:03:42 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x000bE86AA877d70aa756D4b243cDd693c3B4857c
Tx: 0x0038001b9d52783d4e8e1bc4fe9a14815e836c04362859445f5dff8795555b75
556.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 12:03:32 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4
Tx: 0x00170027afd06dd76c214954c45fa27786d99bc32494544afb2addc373913b59