Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 4:37:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 4:37:00 A.M. to 08/03/2026, 4:38:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
40% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,436.1
Unexplained QUAI: 5,214.05
Explained QI: 435.97
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
2.5x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
8,650.15 QUAI
435.97 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004F43e324576553BDd928fAcE2cd6466FD5a841 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 8650 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004F43e324576553BDd928fAcE2cd6466FD5a841 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 4:37:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (60% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (40%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004F43e324576553BDd928fAcE2cd6466FD5a841
Net sender
Unknown type
3,435.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,435.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
435.98 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
435.98 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Net sender
Unknown type
1.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 435.97 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
8,650.15 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:37:17 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:36:07 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
3,436.1 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:38:29 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
2,051.08 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:34:56 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate8 tx
37,569.72 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:33:46 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:39:40 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:32:35 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:40:50 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,435.03 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:37:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004F43e324576553BDd928fAcE2cd6466FD5a841
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
217.98 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:37:43 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0072007768c332d705dd272219c3c32278f4e79848199cd2116ed513e5afb9a5
217.98 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:37:43 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0062001f2060bdf9e3b1bffb5566147a6e5018b9256ec4e76093e08fca551f4b
3,435.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:37:37 A.M.
From: 0x004F43e324576553BDd928fAcE2cd6466FD5a841
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0054005c11d6919d59ef9e2f0c9acdcd734f5c364b6029ad2b035b01ff66add1
1.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:37:37 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000f0054b5bbcdd98b16c90db2db11b45bde360f97324f5c75df0b0d2ea77342