Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 4:11:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 4:11:00 A.M. to 08/03/2026, 4:12:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,414.19
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 467.87
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
0 QUAI
467.87 QI
Avg confidence
74.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002635DA95941573bAf9252151656D0fcBbF4F79.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002635DA95941573bAf9252151656D0fcBbF4F79.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 4:11:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
7,414.19 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002635DA95941573bAf9252151656D0fcBbF4F79
Net sender
Unknown type
7,120.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
467.88 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
467.88 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001d8fbE4750e07fbc994c4292be8Bb30ecF17b3
Net sender
Unknown type
189.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 467.87 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 7,414.19 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:11:25 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
3,911.43 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:10:14 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
6.72 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:09:03 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
7,414.19 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:12:35 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
11.16 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:07:52 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
592.59 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:13:46 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:06:42 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
1,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/03/2026, 4:14:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
7,120.91 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:11:31 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002635DA95941573bAf9252151656D0fcBbF4F79
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
233.76 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:11:41 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00150042aeb25a1c4d75755f288009e16d76a4b7d98a476680e313e6774ace2a
189.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:11:31 A.M.
From: 0x001d8fbE4750e07fbc994c4292be8Bb30ecF17b3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e003183248b88c8d9f9239787932ba9a7bc343719ed0af821601a0c7b4725
7,120.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:11:31 A.M.
From: 0x002635DA95941573bAf9252151656D0fcBbF4F79
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00020033b6d9539a1d2f884234218f94e4695e6fcbf9c71e6084992b8db77c3a
103.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:11:31 A.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a00123d37be4ac7a0913c736681dffca329758273cbef8e7c3f605a754673
234.11 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 4:11:17 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0040004fce6edbb59fea8a64d97eb56e70feffb95ebfb80e140a87e1fa43acc8
