Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 3:56:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 3:56:00 A.M. to 08/03/2026, 3:57:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,982.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 477
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
0 QUAI
477 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00085f0Edd9c300d5CC415F09cEAB3cedfD80Bdc.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00085f0Edd9c300d5CC415F09cEAB3cedfD80Bdc.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 3:56:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
3,981.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00085f0Edd9c300d5CC415F09cEAB3cedfD80Bdc
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,981.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00587Ab1926bf7c705ED745B5E15F512DFF4BC3F
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 3,981.87 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:56:05 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
16,609.28 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:54:54 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
3,982.87 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:57:15 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
556.97 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:53:43 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:58:26 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:52:33 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:59:36 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate3 tx
16,610 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:51:23 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,981.87 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 3:56:10 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00085f0Edd9c300d5CC415F09cEAB3cedfD80Bdc
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 3:56:40 A.M.
From: 0x002940bFddfC137343fE8F83a7aD439741cAB8fa
To: 0x00587Ab1926bf7c705ED745B5E15F512DFF4BC3F
Tx: 0x0054007dfb17089ce94774fe3bf8812b5ad5bed8953f7f4cbde797de8bf62e50
3,981.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 3:56:10 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x00085f0Edd9c300d5CC415F09cEAB3cedfD80Bdc
Tx: 0x0043007385c8444b983280d2e5fa733927d752fcbc4333800ad499193cee70c1