Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 2:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 2:57:00 A.M. to 08/03/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
37% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,502.44
Unexplained QUAI: 7,568.24
Explained QI: 239.02
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
1.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
6
37.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
12,070.68 QUAI
239.02 QI
Avg confidence
67.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x000Dc15799Dd3450d23F5b34e1298357B150fA3a.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 12071 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x000Dc15799Dd3450d23F5b34e1298357B150fA3a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 2:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (37%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
4,502.44 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x000Dc15799Dd3450d23F5b34e1298357B150fA3a
Net sender
Unknown type
1,399.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004E24C5DD33FB5f4865e26F8BB891beF3347e4D
Net sender
Unknown type
1,354.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
Net sender
Unknown type
886.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
Net sender
Unknown type
439.1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
16 tx
12,070.68 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:57:22 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:56:11 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
13,714.01 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:55:00 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
9,480.63 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:58:33 A.M.
-3 min
15 tx
10,461.39 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:53:50 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:59:44 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
6,564.53 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:52:39 A.M.
+4 min
51 tx
1,629.78 QUAI • 65 addresses
08/03/2026, 3:00:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,399.13 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:57:33 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000Dc15799Dd3450d23F5b34e1298357B150fA3a
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
439.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:57:33 A.M.
From: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0023002920036697823e0d5f72cf580346fee3cfbdad596b20e309dcd108ca44
1,354.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:57:33 A.M.
From: 0x004E24C5DD33FB5f4865e26F8BB891beF3347e4D
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00200051388e41db6c040053d2ddb0ac3189663870b210ec34c4c08058c6d7d4
422.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:57:33 A.M.
From: 0x004b24261E537dE9fC1759aC11a635A4299C9C05
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004d00439aa2911fb90d6885ad1df790d402614b308f84cbed4f7d0f2581f7c3
1,399.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:57:33 A.M.
From: 0x000Dc15799Dd3450d23F5b34e1298357B150fA3a
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0036001f76f79abf02e905877bd3169984f8c00a647b5e847eeead245509471c
886.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:57:26 A.M.
From: 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0034006050fab44f8974407327ea824b09921d3a15d148833ea6f433df8eaf8c
239.02 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:57:09 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001100175a4abd2a8f1d5547d2c21e902a151201e85d22ef793d2d2a30ce8fa4