Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 2:54:00 A.M. to 08/03/2026, 2:55:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,714.01
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
2.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
13,714.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 13714 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
13,714.01 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Net receiver
Unknown type
6,857.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9
Net sender
Unknown type
6,856.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
15 tx
10,461.39 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:53:50 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
6,564.53 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:52:39 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
13,714.01 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:55:00 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:56:11 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
3,544.9 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:51:27 A.M.
+3 min
16 tx
12,070.68 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:57:22 A.M.
-4 min
12 tx
4,634.79 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:50:16 A.M.
-5 min
13 tx
5,379.31 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:49:05 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,857.96 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
6,856.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:54:40 A.M.
From: 0x0078538D5FaF72Aeb6805642EC8F88F4c32427C9
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x002a002782020c83574a64cf2459bf24d98863ad7fd8f4316b03b8a48d40ba44
6,857.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00323D9C91db7Bb1b441B172dF0567a910cA8CBD
Tx: 0x001800182d45296c3a7adf7cfb1f9b4ecfa3426a6db2bfa322b5ec7de7573937