Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 2:50:00 A.M. to 08/03/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
68% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,153.77
Unexplained QUAI: 1,481.03
Explained QI: 480.69
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
10
83.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
4,634.79 QUAI
480.69 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0072818F7cf7dB8DbBDF8e955FABaE6dBBD3b7ca.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 4635 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0072818F7cf7dB8DbBDF8e955FABaE6dBBD3b7ca.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (32% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,768.62 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x0072818F7cf7dB8DbBDF8e955FABaE6dBBD3b7ca
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,449.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
480.69 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
480.69 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00782f61dC8c6030a482E813E04E940F4c602f33
Net receiver
Unknown type
480.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 480.69 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
4,634.79 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:50:16 A.M.
-1 min
13 tx
5,379.31 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:49:05 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
3,544.9 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:51:27 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate32 tx
36,613.3 QUAI • 44 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:47:53 A.M.
-3 min
14 tx
10,485.93 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:46:41 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
6,564.53 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:52:39 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
5,544.91 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:45:31 A.M.
+4 min
15 tx
10,461.39 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:53:50 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,449.37 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:50:35 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0072818F7cf7dB8DbBDF8e955FABaE6dBBD3b7ca
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
480.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:50:57 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00782f61dC8c6030a482E813E04E940F4c602f33
Tx: 0x001c002591452d916171007e49da549e0c6cebd674e2cdb27099b43f15aca73b
240.34 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:50:46 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00130055f1d190ec04705444d40bfff36aa53382360d01f276f305271ebacf8d
321.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:50:46 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0074DA5D1C9E649401a8958A11AA88347C743C62
Tx: 0x002f003dce568e947938216ea2fbc1f727ce04f262bd73bf90bc703cccdb5ba9
254.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:50:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00743a2bF1c35514DAb84180e40D9C09C9B3C7d0
Tx: 0x003e003f56cf763b3661cb38bc542b20efce062a124abb910a7b60a4c5ec7d3c
240.34 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:50:39 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0065000eec5548c268761c1c06d19f941574cf6c75fc5799dcf30f586e1efc4f
166.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:50:38 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Tx: 0x00710077595c0e3c2d5e7489ec94beaec19a94dadd80e7abdc168984fcc7d821
1,449.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:50:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0072818F7cf7dB8DbBDF8e955FABaE6dBBD3b7ca
Tx: 0x004d0012426eca5e641a27e62e9d3ba81f141f9340005e70feb46f7ff6dbc223
96.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:50:20 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00716eE9D7C4eF522ccd4fD5Cbc875B4F2C789B0
Tx: 0x000c006687d013556356ffcaad7c018fa743a5110ea8d82c8f6789411d0ee636
384.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:50:20 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
Tx: 0x00150074c3f8b63d13b9b14c1912912f72d369eb60cf9ec8bcc5055eee08449e
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:50:20 A.M.
From: 0x007016fac2D3eD40a2509D8A23Ad42B6ea2Daa2B
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x000500092e4c7f623257ca93c5992db55806e6f1c96614529b37160f0d6b9845
