Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 2:44:00 A.M. to 08/03/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
78% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,931.89
Unexplained QUAI: 1,096.21
Explained QI: 456.59
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
1.1x previous minute
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
5,028.1 QUAI
456.59 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 5028 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (22% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,126.04 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,805.85 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00679dC2781eCCEC34CA032fC58f3DA7d838C5Fa
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,794.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00622819C29f0bF9f686e9a9DE0178D2D3D5a613
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,192.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00619e196945A409F8B0dC0BD52CfC75c409Ef66
Net receiver
Unknown type
504.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 456.59 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
5,028.1 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:44:20 A.M.
-1 min
11 tx
4,526.67 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:43:09 A.M.
-2 min
13 tx
14,084.05 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:41:58 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
5,544.91 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:45:31 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
12,526.16 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:40:46 A.M.
+3 min
14 tx
10,485.93 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:46:41 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
3,055.52 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:39:36 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate32 tx
36,613.3 QUAI • 44 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:47:53 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,794.85 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:44:23 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00679dC2781eCCEC34CA032fC58f3DA7d838C5Fa
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
224.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:44:55 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0068E745f473d6D1fD3bE07bb9c822484CEE62BA
Tx: 0x0070006871278620377793b818ec9ef9eec4923d3b492f4b529c16ab96b6e9af
1,192.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:44:55 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00622819C29f0bF9f686e9a9DE0178D2D3D5a613
Tx: 0x00670004b5b9f4e860894c22f044784b045acb5f4190ff99138fea4c7c16deb3
109.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:44:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006200b5Bf4f35f2d793382eC2AFF48a2895a5A7
Tx: 0x0004003f5c4a854419f089d5010ebb390aea737cf7e3ba81009139709e8fc966
106.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:44:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00687D48F1d1aD2cAE9C437eaDEc9ba7497094c7
Tx: 0x001500603153e94f066422f46577566c7a83ecf725d356ef32f51319db49def4
504.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:44:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00619e196945A409F8B0dC0BD52CfC75c409Ef66
Tx: 0x005f007ed427d05ec6b56eb869cf50c08dacca200d9d2e9a60861b68890761b6
1,794.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:44:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00679dC2781eCCEC34CA032fC58f3DA7d838C5Fa
Tx: 0x0024001ea68618bc45eab039afc8e743761fc2ebce578b4ab2b8dc90dc651b7b
228.29 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:44:03 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001200416ad75d38583b0a120c37c3f46ebe7679c851920a2b810f7068cbb600
228.29 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:44:03 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0006000b4c5bc6fdd8c5652fa6a4ba3db447e3c95d71c669c6b4c824aca1c0ae