Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 2:40:00 A.M. to 08/03/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
39% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,913.57
Unexplained QUAI: 7,612.58
Explained QI: 457.66
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.2x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
8
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
12,526.16 QUAI
457.66 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0057b369Dc87e205a0c06b552602EAb84cc0AE2d.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 12526 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0057b369Dc87e205a0c06b552602EAb84cc0AE2d.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 2:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (61% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (39%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,021.77 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0057b369Dc87e205a0c06b552602EAb84cc0AE2d
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,425.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
891.8 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Net receiver
Unknown type
626.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
457.66 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 457.66 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
10 tx
3,055.52 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:39:36 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
12,526.16 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:40:46 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate44 tx
52,396.52 QUAI • 55 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:38:23 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
14,084.05 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:41:58 A.M.
-3 min
14 tx
6,337.97 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:37:12 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
4,526.67 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:43:09 A.M.
-4 min
11 tx
12,168.96 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:36:01 A.M.
+4 min
8 tx
5,028.1 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:44:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,425.42 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:40:37 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0057b369Dc87e205a0c06b552602EAb84cc0AE2d
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
228.83 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:40:56 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0031002603030bd48a1bfb5a798b9338f7332cdea269a03a0756ede456da4e3c
228.83 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:40:56 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007e002f971ef0af445183ae9c3f156b170b8df9d869034a944b60ca9ea8de59
184.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:40:37 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00611e2cF57B087bAccf7A12498119D49f28FDd6
Tx: 0x0071005d454c12b9eb527046a47b78bb206243f2e63116b1a7ac1aad0952eef2
3,425.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:40:37 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0057b369Dc87e205a0c06b552602EAb84cc0AE2d
Tx: 0x0046007c0a884274c9ded3e356a9be97abba8da603335396e8a30e6172aec114
164.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:40:34 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00576fd6C4dA7bc87A246383680314E5Ac5B24e5
Tx: 0x001e00121eaef975741188f64a256ffd2a0d194df66d4e444dad629958d5d40c
626.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:40:34 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Tx: 0x0057001ef3b64a274cc0d2c14a9a65075a21df68c73df8415d31bb0ac930815d
432.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:40:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00571a335608ad8e990a95F309DF1F0e373F10d6
Tx: 0x005f0014e63cc2f80f2cf59723f94f3556dc0331186f80ede47b3487414d19b9
80.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:40:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005f348B4fa4B6a46BfDc5b120dAB6255777c813
Tx: 0x0000007423a0a01fe03179bce92da529723b8ea2a98e5d662fcd7f1b1cce8ca5
