Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 2:38:00 A.M. to 08/03/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
7% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,669.23
Unexplained QUAI: 48,727.29
Explained QI: 241.78
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
8.3x previous minute
17x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
44
Observable rows
9
20.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
55
Asset volume
52,396.52 QUAI
241.78 QI
Avg confidence
65.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00545cE6748Fa18a6e26fb0dF60877e8C93F85c5.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 52397 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x00545cE6748Fa18a6e26fb0dF60877e8C93F85c5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (93% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (7%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,578.45 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00545cE6748Fa18a6e26fb0dF60877e8C93F85c5
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,271.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,090.78 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
Net receiver
Unknown type
652.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005b0F3Cf33EEd139a12a653Bd6f76B2249fB035
Net receiver
Unknown type
445.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate44 tx
52,396.52 QUAI • 55 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:38:23 A.M.
-1 min
14 tx
6,337.97 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:37:12 A.M.
-2 min
11 tx
12,168.96 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:36:01 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
3,055.52 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:39:36 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
7,833.62 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:34:50 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
12,526.16 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:40:46 A.M.
-4 min
14 tx
22,167.53 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:33:39 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
14,084.05 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:41:58 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,271.22 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:38:10 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00545cE6748Fa18a6e26fb0dF60877e8C93F85c5
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
273.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:38:58 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Db301c7B1aE54d124b6767471b2a364d1B377
Tx: 0x007d0026d23f865882909cd120a3813bc7242f590aefe8c074b145ea95295bd5
240.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:38:58 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0056086D6bA66331dba675592e3BEF3E91B4948a
Tx: 0x0033005c7e6a76bb2c703e341b21da4a80be9d82de8e4766a44afadb357cf86e
241.78 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:38:52 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005e004104edc63f7186217847dea6c3aee37e4569bee490a6091d8b8530b843
413.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:38:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0055EeF1DcFad9BAe71F4e24a386219D0d3E948f
Tx: 0x0044003a8e2f43246b8c968beb6f1e7d7e9dacc9f036e66a3de4515246d5a9fd
194.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:38:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005D87D52567A05E699462656f7C0745b434F017
Tx: 0x0079006773061b3e52a6453652b14d8210088f411b0317aa17d6682691ee6a0e
445.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:38:35 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005b0F3Cf33EEd139a12a653Bd6f76B2249fB035
Tx: 0x0026003978d720dcda48a6626397de4e669fe944f6ba0ecf067d44121f27a928
652.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:38:35 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0054d52a30f89cB614d18B7E7cf450D0fFdBB340
Tx: 0x007b000a2a8d08e3728b85826e3ef0cb4eddcd6c8d59a3d3538df2d0ab9f339a
177.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:38:10 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005AE28E0163Ba0d77cDC2eB96C44619bFf939d3
Tx: 0x003100394e37388abaf7f0233e0cd0d0f7e1d869687a4462a29f155f6ac428ef
1,271.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:38:10 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00545cE6748Fa18a6e26fb0dF60877e8C93F85c5
Tx: 0x0062000d16ec143a926e7b6e994d93984a588974a366f060cbd83ebec6cba4ba