Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 2:21:00 A.M. to 08/03/2026, 2:22:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
28% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,044.33
Unexplained QUAI: 20,685.24
Explained QI: 243.81
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
4.2x previous minute
1.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
40
Observable rows
10
25.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
51
Asset volume
28,729.57 QUAI
243.81 QI
Avg confidence
65.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 28730 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 2:21:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
6,151.87 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Net receiver
Unknown type
5,654.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,419.57 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
Net receiver
Unknown type
816.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
472.89 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate40 tx
28,729.57 QUAI • 51 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:21:20 A.M.
-1 min
16 tx
6,778.62 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:20:08 A.M.
-2 min
17 tx
4,942.17 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:18:56 A.M.
+2 min
20 tx
21,706.86 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:22:33 A.M.
-3 min
20 tx
13,467.56 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:17:45 A.M.
+3 min
21 tx
14,337.39 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:23:44 A.M.
-4 min
24 tx
10,241.03 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:16:33 A.M.
+4 min
16 tx
6,936.3 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/03/2026, 2:24:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5,654.25 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:21:45 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
82.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:21:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00247DE74e638091811E9cD995f8690d4821E09C
Tx: 0x0067007fce528e80c3bebb304f10973e993fb3a08d6bcb2e7a6fe40096120592
439.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:21:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Tx: 0x0045006d7e3b52260d52334dae7bdd2186c18e2db88ace28fa09eacaff65d717
173.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:21:54 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0044BeD43990E90F1BBd97d3FaeF490f045b5A61
Tx: 0x00390007db0575b6cd23dd073de7facfd4ac2e78d1a050750eb978bdd0de2300
211.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:21:45 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00435796ae6f0a075E49765f46471e8fc475E5Bd
Tx: 0x005a006903edefd27f403bb2f3f15607209dfa200d8da853cfb309eec4a2a2fb
816.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:21:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
Tx: 0x004c00115dd29707e803e416e15fb55c7a251adf340c8741ad7db73399d7aeb2
5,654.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:21:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002378Ed986d936D488B5DD92517Dc3F4966E07F
Tx: 0x00380021fb495b2448490c893bf6b8a5ceb9522387c5fe3276861aa074c11838
243.81 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:21:24 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004d001fa3d5a4d35fd7ea8e7f949ab928e8eede881dd43461f00f98cf85aa24
415.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:21:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00222320062d091D63Fe7eb51A70D5E691D2Af67
Tx: 0x00660050f742aa2734a9ae1a6c937e5dc9afe9fe923732a43f2281587bfb1f7d
87.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:21:12 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0040EDcF696F9e0248b62444343dd1C872e151f1
Tx: 0x000700349e9d692540bfb4f5938b51f89c92fd94280d73359c55dc601a4b4f7a
163.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 2:21:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7
Tx: 0x0073003bcb14485704859dbc157ce509455cb9fe1c7a0663816e8475de60d963