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Spike bucket

08/03/2026, 2:11:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/03/2026, 2:11:00 A.M. to 08/03/2026, 2:12:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

78% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 1,784.64

Unexplained QUAI: 490.11

Explained QI: 464.7

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 87% of explained volume

Relative context

0.4x above local average

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

71.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

2,274.75 QUAI

464.7 QI

Avg confidence

74.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x000358625baFF3f4503ce15b9ebFD5B5E8925782.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 2275 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x000358625baFF3f4503ce15b9ebFD5B5E8925782.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 08/03/2026, 2:11:00 A.M.

Coverage gap moderate (22% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F

Net sender

Unknown type

1,553.1 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000358625baFF3f4503ce15b9ebFD5B5E8925782

Net receiver

Unknown type

1,553.1 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

464.71 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net receiver

Unknown type

464.71 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D

Net sender

Unknown type

127.3 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

2 repeated flows • 464.7 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 7. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.