Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 1:34:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 1:34:00 A.M. to 08/03/2026, 1:35:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
22% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 369.5
Unexplained QUAI: 1,322.59
Explained QI: 245.52
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
0.4x previous minute
4.6x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
9
Observable rows
2
22.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
1,692.09 QUAI
245.52 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1692 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 1:34:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (78% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (22%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
Net sender
Unknown type
369.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
369.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
245.52 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
245.52 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 369.5 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
1,692.09 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:34:10 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate4 tx
4,582.97 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:33:00 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
369.5 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:35:21 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:31:49 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:30:39 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:36:31 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
53.13 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:37:43 A.M.
-5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:29:29 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
369.5 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 1:34:42 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
245.52 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 1:34:43 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004200356fa15b6b16cbacad92c51949173bb01be2765330c03a854c305132c1
369.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 1:34:42 A.M.
From: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005f000ec9255d90e93c0cc8c0e3e35efac885725c5a2344c0ef0427277c110a