Spike bucket
08/03/2026, 1:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/03/2026, 1:03:00 A.M. to 08/03/2026, 1:04:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5.11
Unexplained QUAI: 599.04
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 368.62
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
1
25.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
604.16 QUAI
368.62 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79 • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 604 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79 • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/03/2026, 1:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
5.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
5.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate51 tx
21,255.23 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:02:23 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
604.16 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:03:35 A.M.
-2 min
51 tx
1,321.98 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:01:13 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
275.44 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:04:45 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:00:02 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:05:57 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/03/2026, 12:58:51 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
5.64 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/03/2026, 1:07:07 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
5.11 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 1:03:17 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
5.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/03/2026, 1:03:17 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0035006b36f977f3d56b6312c0d2ffbc92220e75f67f80e9897860773b131a2a