Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 11:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 11:20:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 11:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,999.21
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 499.05
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
0 QUAI
499.05 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 11:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
19,998.21 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
499.06 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
374.33 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
124.73 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 19,998.21 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:20:04 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:18:52 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
19,999.21 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:21:15 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1.58 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:17:41 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
1 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:22:26 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
556.97 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:23:36 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
19,999.03 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:15:22 P.M.
+5 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:24:47 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.21 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:20:11 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
374.32 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:20:37 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x000800373cdb261742645b4985ded994d8a26248a9d518d723f1e7f4a9ebadaa
124.72 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:20:37 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00760077b91b0e3aa8748e4e14cb0b37c891bef84c54ee52fb18f6c20cce955a
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:20:24 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0049002cb383d29e5d9e98739faefa7cb188f03a9acfd12bdd0d39b671b0e0d2
19,998.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:20:11 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e001e4d905dd3298e48a8c58df94fd94437dac6b60224fc107b82101a22e2