Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 11:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 11:14:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 11:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,999.03
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 637.33
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
5.7x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
3,163.96 QUAI
637.33 QI
Avg confidence
86.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 3164 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 11:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
638.34 QI across 4 visible rows
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
374.82 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
263.52 QI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 262.51 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
3,163.96 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:14:12 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
556.97 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:13:01 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate5 tx
19,999.03 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:15:22 P.M.
-2 min
8 tx
596.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:11:50 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:10:39 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
1.58 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:17:41 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:09:29 P.M.
+5 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:18:52 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,999.03 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:14:43 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
137.67 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:14:52 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00420014fbc19a5ee36b00d9d95284f2c317cd01b9160b97cd44e1f4de6f72a7
19,999.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:14:43 P.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x001300413a6e7674cd0d1bfa9ac1fb86196ee2e40d8310b4b80d62a10921e10f
374.81 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:14:26 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0074005ff6c4370473a2058e3a4c9553339c2ab38e70e02b9c731ca8460bd4aa
124.84 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:14:26 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00530048b2771ba4aac39995f406a5cb742b3e76e51a18854b86db550ba212dd
1 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:14:26 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002b006e95a0a3ae7e25b68fb1229a9c62f88701c88f65b4a3ce57308c6271ac