Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 11:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 11:11:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 11:12:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 596.65
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 546.77
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 26% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
7
87.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
596.65 QUAI
546.77 QI
Avg confidence
70.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 597 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 11:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
596.65 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
546.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
546.78 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
Net sender
Unknown type
152.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004F6aFd2f1B23d13CD09bBC9A69cDDc9aBa217A
Net sender
Unknown type
122.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 546.77 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 596.65 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:10:39 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
596.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:11:50 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:09:29 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
556.97 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:13:01 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
1 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:08:17 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
3,163.96 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:14:12 P.M.
-4 min
15 tx
1,844.9 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:07:06 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
19,999.03 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:15:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
273.7 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:11:10 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
273.07 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:11:39 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004b0053691f62cd01b095b4f0c0288e8d3235cf7ff3e5bdea179d15a3e15ecb
273.7 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:11:10 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0015000a30bfc72a26110613c7a87a24f7090041097b589cb9e806cdd8eb9c25
116.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:11:03 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00130021b7f1eeb091ea2ac430568978dd01741f139105720ee27862a203d337
103.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:11:03 P.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00550022e039c04d64a83a95dc47899cba4c80fa0d860f6955ef868bb650d7c6
122.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:11:03 P.M.
From: 0x004F6aFd2f1B23d13CD09bBC9A69cDDc9aBa217A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00670056e545a252ac03250e236d844bd8b941d5177ad970363093945e575267
101.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:11:03 P.M.
From: 0x006F01531266035955B36D375360aA15F10ED0cf
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00380046f558c1194a7be69b14b97dd49781b742de702b31a68d257af7d8ed7f
152.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:11:03 P.M.
From: 0x00702f3A87e8dd0C5F674392DF7DCB42531CAB02
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a0063e75642017e2ccfa712dfe35d5540651c385d46219d5da9d67f42e985
