Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 11:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 11:03:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 11:04:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6.19
Unexplained QUAI: 556.97
Explained QI: 673.09
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
4
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
563.16 QUAI
673.09 QI
Avg confidence
84.5%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 563 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 11:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
675.1 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Net receiver
Unknown type
399.15 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
275.94 QI across 2 visible rows
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
6.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
6.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 273.94 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
49 tx
1,429.22 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:02:22 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
563.16 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:03:33 P.M.
-2 min
52 tx
1,740.47 QUAI • 62 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:01:12 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:04:44 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0.17 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:00:01 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:05:55 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:58:51 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate15 tx
1,844.9 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:07:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
399.15 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:03:48 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
399.15 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:03:48 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x00558Cc7312FB63F1DC6211B64f7E970D2E8445F
Tx: 0x0028006b44e1e8082a1c36a07502108d28744265879ef2b3f180db10b91c0e84
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:03:48 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004e000104fe8b6cd07354278f33a28d1baf8697d3a02086d0f1d41b7b20b4fd
273.94 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:03:28 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0048000878a2d275b0b56def48e2fbeab2d4b5567211617873a272bb512a0f5e
6.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:03:08 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00500002a8a21e7023340ada96d68e61ca24bbd2057cee4b8e9e9d337b45647d
