Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 10:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 10:26:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 10:27:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50.43
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
5
Asset volume
50.43 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 50 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 10:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.43 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net sender
Unknown type
27.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
12.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
7.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006de603b1d5c1c9d0042B566d2918DE2becF53B
Net sender
Unknown type
2.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
205.28 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:25:52 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:24:42 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
50.43 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:27:04 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate1 tx
556.97 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:23:31 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:28:14 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:29:24 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:22:20 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:21:10 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
27.57 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:26:43 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
12.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:26:43 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003d000c14ba46d0f2d4ac3433368358444cf5ccc8f35ca63080bc31fc7a3ccc
27.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:26:43 P.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000300293169c34b8590ebf242d93a6f209368e9a27548f0df765fbbafd451cb
7.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:26:43 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004d0023487b1af926fc1fb10efc70c2061d64915bfe0a2a4695ba8cec03fcad
2.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:26:43 P.M.
From: 0x006de603b1d5c1c9d0042B566d2918DE2becF53B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00650048bd86a5fba1adb7c76933b411d3aaed5a0dff183482a9872cb8abfc93