Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 9:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 9:10:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 9:11:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
51% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 52
Unexplained QUAI: 50
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
102 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007df5FAa7CB28B3aF12E43Ea36d14D8722B8A49 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 102 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007df5FAa7CB28B3aF12E43Ea36d14D8722B8A49 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
0x007df5FAa7CB28B3aF12E43Ea36d14D8722B8A49 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 9:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (49% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (51%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007df5FAa7CB28B3aF12E43Ea36d14D8722B8A49
Net sender
Unknown type
52 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
52 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x007df5FAa7CB28B3aF12E43Ea36d14D8722B8A49 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 52 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
78.55 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 9:09:35 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
102 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 9:10:45 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 9:08:25 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 9:11:56 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
2,190.14 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 9:07:14 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
556.97 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/02/2026, 9:13:07 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 9:06:04 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 9:14:18 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
49 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 9:10:07 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x007df5FAa7CB28B3aF12E43Ea36d14D8722B8A49
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 9:10:32 P.M.
From: 0x007df5FAa7CB28B3aF12E43Ea36d14D8722B8A49
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x000300584c8746c1edd3eefdd34e0dc89301b6f561aca8734b549d3a0b5c42f6
49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 9:10:07 P.M.
From: 0x007df5FAa7CB28B3aF12E43Ea36d14D8722B8A49
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00360063552bf8e1fba46c206eb8b8fe6c078bbb237681bb29a55cca1e109545