Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 6:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 6:26:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 6:27:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 145.35
Unexplained QUAI: 11,072.86
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
7.3x above local average
77x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
19
Observable rows
6
31.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
11,218.2 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 11218 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 6:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
145.35 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6
Net sender
Unknown type
70.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net sender
Unknown type
39.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
15.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
10.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate19 tx
11,218.2 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:26:13 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:25:03 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
145.35 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:27:24 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
822.29 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:23:52 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:22:41 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
79.35 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:28:35 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:21:31 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:29:45 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
70.41 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:26:26 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
5.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:26:26 P.M.
From: 0x00242627257ce56AB5F2535baE0718509f654e4f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001f003f5ab4ecdcf5b0ac5763af0ab9099617f16215e2d21239f55efbe654c2
10.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:26:26 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004b0042186d3e8fe9b475cf06409f4701799107e10cda4b3347e2f5dbdea948
15.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:26:26 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000b007a7589f32c836c2757af523e4c7d0b1de042a72ae03ad8cb2562da3cc8
2.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:26:26 P.M.
From: 0x0030b69222D8C152aB3cB4e66F7b3BEe33A6fdfe
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0000001219c6ce4dce97ffdc30995b596085bc4ac058bcaa0681cc8e9af36111
39.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:26:26 P.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002700048e13dd59eb85360148914d860d2e7bb4fb94e9806b20fd62a5ab50d3
70.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:26:26 P.M.
From: 0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0042001c43b7decbb149d752905207490cdf4d513ef78c674e5ed0ec657065e5