Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 6:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 6:23:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 6:24:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
32% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 265.33
Unexplained QUAI: 556.97
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
1
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
822.29 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 822 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 6:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (68% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (32%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
265.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Net receiver
Unknown type
265.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:22:41 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:21:31 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
822.29 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:23:52 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:25:03 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:20:20 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate19 tx
11,218.2 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:26:13 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:19:10 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
145.35 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:27:24 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
265.33 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:23:41 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
265.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:23:41 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x0028C5534d930C7dc406cA080c6AcAa4a93a1BF6
Tx: 0x00100023da37f9f14adf6a3ed8ddff327c16d5e783b13b5c71a3954f7498f415
