Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 6:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 6:13:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 6:14:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,645.08
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 308.28
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
556.97 QUAI
308.28 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 557 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 6:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,645.08 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,273.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004566daF1BB75ee4F5889B396482c61e9EaE00B
Net sender
Unknown type
672.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005Db15bcCDC1deA4cB6985D302a6f90e4346941
Net sender
Unknown type
568.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
308.28 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,645.08 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
556.97 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:13:18 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:12:06 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
2,645.08 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:14:29 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:10:56 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
11.66 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:09:45 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:15:39 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:08:35 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:16:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,273.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:13:20 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
568.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:13:20 P.M.
From: 0x005Db15bcCDC1deA4cB6985D302a6f90e4346941
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e00129e61f955f19906d09c7763c58690cbba602e4b46752eb51d3cc313e7
131.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:13:20 P.M.
From: 0x0001de111c2a95c43834F13193c63c35976d8f37
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00560061c0564e4aa57e0150eb76d4df9312c4b93da82ff6721ca5364e38db48
1,273.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:13:20 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0017002c3ef6714a9d602ea9407171539afbd9f7c97099d4572bf9110acc8395
672.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:13:20 P.M.
From: 0x004566daF1BB75ee4F5889B396482c61e9EaE00B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c00443655248c673785e86d5ef99f4c25c588a2b4624ce611fd96a78b0460
308.28 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:13:16 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00580045ad46c57d5803e445579c617a5baeeb5a17aa4203bba185e95d18e054