Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 6:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 6:04:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 6:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21,173.33
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 308.68
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
4.1x above local average
15x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
26
Observable rows
26
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
29
Asset volume
21,173.33 QUAI
308.68 QI
Avg confidence
63.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 21173 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 26 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 6:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 26 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,206.56 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
966.77 QUAI across 22 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
308.69 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
308.69 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,206.56 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
564.75 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:03:52 P.M.
-1 min
50 tx
1,370.8 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:02:41 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate26 tx
21,173.33 QUAI • 40 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:05:02 P.M.
+2 min
17 tx
10,987.05 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:06:14 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
1,844.99 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:01:29 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
4.72 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:07:25 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
5,097.11 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 6:00:18 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:59:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.28 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:58 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
26 transactions
100.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:58 P.M.
From: 0x002EBF145D38B1C5BD8C35B191691F9f4C2aD3De
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0075004a9cded3a2e9772a4d55542997bb7c2d12eb4420c383702b9b2d9aab23
19,998.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:58 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0021000a1598f1e8aa196b8e2d9723ba0b0e3b2ee2fd8f8e015907a8c4e1f40b
107.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:58 P.M.
From: 0x006F01531266035955B36D375360aA15F10ED0cf
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0053003ef3bb045f0a1c412d26ebbf1ae287993d357cbfb270efe28df0d8998e
308.68 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:46 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0017003109ed46f34b64ed8395c03d52a8a4a26a4369bc445b91d8f85790b649
6.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012fE23b7728eC7b817396fFBDCAA441f7E50Dc
Tx: 0x007c00096e843e8e4b4ccd426d2541a8b5fd70187b99d72ce59d18a08145129e
5.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007C8DE1bE082D62C6dA8cD95B6B9347d9A20dCA
Tx: 0x0012007ac95f2ef9257e483bc965197c329cb609f205a49b9970f1cf04709181
7.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059bBeBa67514C7b0e49749B2e57697Af2C4C43
Tx: 0x0040002420fceb0959a7225e91a917ec3aa2dfe3a4b59afa51658149f958cf80
21.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Tx: 0x000d004bdce00a139dcdf210fa2fe9aa291c2c11ced2f3bdcdc5d1c615ce5e44
7.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x00510003c79bf591feeef2b6a2ba857ccc3486be7a4caaa1ee49a3d5242b7c24
8.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000C11662eE5319eFc008367C8C2BD47bFc81584
Tx: 0x00510000d7119bed941528f7b623e08c82866503ed5a0a36ecbafc5088d9c2d1
261.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x003700526dcde4d0134f633641ca034107636e7263c6603fa873561175b9b781
10.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00415f09816976684b248044c91A62020d85B568
Tx: 0x00290025e7254d2e0a4bec0831181f9c756efe1365a852fa82a6a8486c90a3d5
29.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007F95f6B1De175cf3ab31eDD47C98CC5dDB3cC4
Tx: 0x00340018ec3820b54142dc3879f8ed194bf5ac4aa9a58f3fcdf8c24da224cc07
42.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Tx: 0x00680059b7e73dd433c64b2bed72d8937a5c2f970d92bf5efc9996154700fbfa
21.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0037da737aAf5e405ECF40243874f9A6fEba3F20
Tx: 0x0019002505d406f0ef8357e1f08b52ef2e32695a02732a62e0d80c6d7ca61284
32.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x006a00726d7b8264ed567efd6bedb3a1a819d0c8ce3e8f6d764001d49bf8bfa8
19.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x006d001913f2874fc8f8e96cfef79a12b90e46076442f1e3ce8f611b4f4442b5
15.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Tx: 0x001d002ba6525be40f983d4d6cff06ab806027e33fe25d0f7bf39b66597ebaf1
3.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
Tx: 0x00450023fc14b32252157b7b9b030cb3247ba6e2e00d34f4b121b352126f2745
11.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003C076bf5A11550C99AF32F325d618A96030635
Tx: 0x0043005c87c9faa1b39c2684e2af4b9e47dbd0c41fb0394a98d5ed585b8f66f0
177.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0019002f1b63c720faf31c9305c71e968c7658c259a5654326e9cad9631f7695
18.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x000D7d3F319e6c2cD31535994133923271bD6c6f
Tx: 0x005e003ab416d55c157d3ec1981962013a68ba6f204dfcb551dac14c9c238834
3.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x005600131767d72b28bc4459d6e71e523a3f847462eec5528889aba23d854535
5.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x001800210feb35c8321da3e5bbe82bbeeda3b7151bb2207f4449fd9746a68abe
28.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x007e003bc143292b92f7fe9ac0cafd1ed554ccd8ad45a92d0e259f2884783019
227.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 6:04:14 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0069001c70b52acc000d8b04f33c988eda22394d3ef535fc55760a14cdb7927c
