Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 5:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 5:10:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 5:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 441.52
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 69% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
3
Asset volume
441.52 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 442 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 5:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
441.52 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net sender
Unknown type
303.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
137.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 441.52 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:09:51 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:08:40 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
441.52 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:11:01 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:12:12 P.M.
-3 min
4 tx
14.04 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:07:29 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
1,927.79 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:13:22 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
17.85 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:06:18 P.M.
-5 min
14 tx
772.44 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:05:07 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
303.64 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:10:35 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
137.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:10:35 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c00469a3cdc815a9aedfb7d15e305ed0a3ac85d371cbb2052bc00f3d19139
303.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:10:35 P.M.
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004500478390d6e311761bf71dc93bbcabcf35401a4a1e3a554ec56d0dd641cc