Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 4:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 4:13:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 4:14:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7.07
Unexplained QUAI: 556.97
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
2
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
564.04 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781 • 0x00587Ab1926bf7c705ED745B5E15F512DFF4BC3F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 564 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781 • 0x00587Ab1926bf7c705ED745B5E15F512DFF4BC3F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 4:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
Net sender
Unknown type
7.07 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00587Ab1926bf7c705ED745B5E15F512DFF4BC3F
Net receiver
Unknown type
7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
564.04 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:13:28 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:12:18 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
400 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:11:07 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:14:38 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:09:57 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate1 tx
6,994.04 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:15:48 P.M.
-4 min
7 tx
440.99 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:08:46 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:17:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
7 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:13:14 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x00587Ab1926bf7c705ED745B5E15F512DFF4BC3F
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
0.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:13:21 P.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x0071001445c2f50077175843f5d903a45d0d1bb824227b5d61a700a03b87320f
7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:13:14 P.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x00587Ab1926bf7c705ED745B5E15F512DFF4BC3F
Tx: 0x0018003ceef9bbd78dde66a06baf6bd32193f8779484cc1809c1a5d6acd59955