Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 4:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 4:05:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 4:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19.19
Unexplained QUAI: 1,011.35
Explained QI: 899.44
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
1.8x previous minute
35x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
24
Observable rows
7
29.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
34
Asset volume
1,030.54 QUAI
899.44 QI
Avg confidence
74.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 1031 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 4:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
899.44 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
899.44 QI across 3 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
19.19 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
Net sender
Unknown type
6.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
Net sender
Unknown type
6.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 899.44 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
24 tx
1,030.54 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:05:13 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
567.97 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:04:03 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
29.2 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:06:25 P.M.
-2 min
52 tx
970.49 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:02:52 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate53 tx
1,789.93 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:01:42 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
50 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:07:36 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
11 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:00:31 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
440.99 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:08:46 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
317.8 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:05:55 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
317.8 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:05:55 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004c0027dd6c83d38a67aaa168c9b4a70559713c526c41e22a26bfc4d56977f4
6.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:05:44 P.M.
From: 0x006cc975514614e26d6C80DA85b887b6e22f6130
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003600185c368238087a8b70943fc308bd1c09b076bed8b9c0fa3b8f2ef19fad
2.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:05:44 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003d004aa8bca3a0dce08b1837811f39535c9cd5b904deb82c873c39da73c043
6.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:05:44 P.M.
From: 0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001300100f7672935a88ae5813897ea2dec10e431d93fd7aa4658d14808dca59
3.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:05:44 P.M.
From: 0x006de603b1d5c1c9d0042B566d2918DE2becF53B
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005a005012c9ce6356a070c9d1ca623960f2616a425f525b935e4c4c4f671fe0
290.81 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:05:10 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0004000a01b2c8736ff2bc997237b12cefb7957a440920f1dd310755c1baed46
290.81 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:05:10 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007c003edb995ff756efe92bcc38b1b56fbdc1c75cf09dd76ec285f8499435bd