Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 4:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 4:04:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 4:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,030.54
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 582.6
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 27% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.6x previous minute
0.6x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
22
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
567.97 QUAI
582.6 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 568 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 22 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 4:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 22 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
1,030.54 QUAI across 22 visible rows
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
281.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
239.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
157.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net receiver
Unknown type
58.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
567.97 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:04:03 P.M.
-1 min
52 tx
970.49 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:02:52 P.M.
+1 min
24 tx
1,030.54 QUAI • 34 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:05:13 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate53 tx
1,789.93 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:01:42 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
29.2 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:06:25 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
11 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:00:31 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
50 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:07:36 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:59:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
281.59 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
All transfers in this selected minute
22 transactions
29.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007F95f6B1De175cf3ab31eDD47C98CC5dDB3cC4
Tx: 0x002400081f0b1eae88768d80033a1332273f4176ab8c83ec74ff9cf33ea6c535
20.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Tx: 0x00110077e11ae9897a9002d7e0b538b93e70ea6a66bc8c70d219b2422448d4d0
8.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059bBeBa67514C7b0e49749B2e57697Af2C4C43
Tx: 0x007d00069636ff7271d88493c86dd58d8d2b7099b1361c78f1c64a3a57c0afa3
5.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005E6F17BC0320c439526bf12AbDB525165Ca3b3
Tx: 0x00780066ea4b1a432a10a8c9ce7c370c3a0f24b8de734eabb90e77ada56df31c
4.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006d14928B63B598eC3B15bc7F10010Ad7EC31F7
Tx: 0x003100789a98251e495861c6e317fb2e13266ee2a90c4a779084e4b557d99329
6.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007C8DE1bE082D62C6dA8cD95B6B9347d9A20dCA
Tx: 0x005e0032e1a703990bdf9afcb6d71aab71888c28185494261cda105a08045a2a
11.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003C076bf5A11550C99AF32F325d618A96030635
Tx: 0x00530031cceef60ecca03b78ce2c3b24c91167e50bbb0795238e0e578ee1f3ca
58.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Tx: 0x002e006ff1bcd4d8010374f1560b5f594b2971957375aaa410e5a3e6c8dc12f4
25.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Tx: 0x005d005d9303da99cf4648f6d4a1a3dfbbd5160168d0c11c1f0db9562dcd8beb
281.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x0058006565a700fffb33be3fe12904fc6645ee2b8a7c53f41efc5a5940992b79
8.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0063D8375De6d5b0B20292391AA1e7654879eEFe
Tx: 0x00510073c406ba89ad34f749feb144fce9a50004436b001d09e473605a35fc0a
33.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x006b0049523b2e650b65b396609e9d41198995ac0be3f599ad7dc43da7e57f5e
4.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0026556e1Be909a07f299A03f8e78181a1f5C654
Tx: 0x0011003311d13f7ef5179c085b7874f51cf89bbc138f9f875b9aa6c61fa3a8a0
26.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x003d001281767215ad34913f6807cea0d05523a833bd7f816545359d013f1d44
4.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006F95Ab5693D0d02287f10eeDb1E0F1D5C66320
Tx: 0x0068007387b0d600467d8f413472ea9079d0a72e3c506b4063e3524e4c83a005
239.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00100024325ea0d3d40093edf407ede6ce56788b5353270179ae99e6a8696c2d
157.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x003e0018644325636ca687585890306011c303ab0116cb8d732f70bf48dd532e
3.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0063C504CD47Cc115338f4130026576471a3F4B3
Tx: 0x00730023b12eb725964a67b02759f8a0b6fcbdcec4ae113f1c529643d48d3ba0
31.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x0003007a93f2040b770954e622ffb42fa9bc91985d22d9a9086d30b81d703a0e
32.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0037da737aAf5e405ECF40243874f9A6fEba3F20
Tx: 0x006b007be54f3cd902b241e23ae486357ce9c3130fea08c5ec61056061d4cc62
30.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x001000005f97f14c332f752d649c25366cc3cd42933b401698c0233121e6b9e4
5.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:04:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x002c001867f128e3ef171fe956c63110e932a8751d6ca3659a79dc047a411583
