Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 3:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 3:06:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 3:07:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
77% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 653.64
Unexplained QUAI: 198.56
Explained QI: 948.13
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.7x previous minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
10
90.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
852.19 QUAI
948.13 QI
Avg confidence
71.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 852 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 3:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (23% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
948.14 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
948.14 QI across 3 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
650.46 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
Net sender
Unknown type
133.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0025eB85649319B9682750E32b10B7304c0D47Cb
Net sender
Unknown type
107.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 948.13 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 650.46 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
852.19 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:06:28 P.M.
-1 min
30 tx
1,185.6 QUAI • 41 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:05:16 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
7.83 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:04:06 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:07:39 P.M.
-3 min
51 tx
2,416.18 QUAI • 62 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:02:55 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:08:49 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
2,168.22 QUAI • 58 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:01:42 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate3 tx
30,002.42 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:10:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
316.06 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:06:02 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
316.02 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:06:40 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001b007544264c7d65bb2c274069b6821a27f322ae49a614dd12c4152404ac9d
316.05 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:06:27 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0041005178c8268e194bea8d5db5f80ea90da104c964e619ad45b6a0762ad777
3.18 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:06:18 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0007007d36d207305ee195729c003640c07b325b038a17fc5f18766bb9211d3d
316.06 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:06:02 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004900737c7e34525baaecaf0443d578d79c723dbbb6830897725faaa50beb84
133.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:06:02 P.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00580056eb16522acd86aff9b892da6497e9c2753e4d813d4c13ce6e43cd6a65
102.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:06:02 P.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005e000d2ed60b33fca3d1c3b1b3bb8132fce8ee87bd9a04ef7aa6f2dc9a2605
104.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:06:02 P.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00110009a7064ec6fe4e66974a9a7ee820ef75e4c5306f8d97fdfcaff1a4a67a
103.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:06:02 P.M.
From: 0x002536BB0CcD07e62c83B286069BA9f73250eaA0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0045001a28b989be19e7ad144286f4618101f2e2607a91ea11e42fb9d40e87b8
99.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:06:02 P.M.
From: 0x00562B64de2b7324ceB63d7d59eF7472b172cF34
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006e001514372d929127251b012dd794d93407af9fef7b860266458b0dff500a
107.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:06:02 P.M.
From: 0x0025eB85649319B9682750E32b10B7304c0D47Cb
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00010071f77b87771248a5b6d4703d79735381f7ef8c53c980c22146d017df89
