Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 3:05:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 3:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
18% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 208.65
Unexplained QUAI: 976.95
Explained QI: 632.08
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
151x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
30
Observable rows
5
16.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
41
Asset volume
1,185.6 QUAI
632.08 QI
Avg confidence
74.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1186 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (82% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (18%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
632.09 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
632.09 QI across 2 visible rows
0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
Net sender
Unknown type
198.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
198.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.1 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 632.08 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 198.56 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
30 tx
1,185.6 QUAI • 41 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:05:16 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
7.83 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:04:06 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
852.19 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:06:28 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate51 tx
2,416.18 QUAI • 62 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:02:55 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
2,168.22 QUAI • 58 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:01:42 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:07:39 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:00:32 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:08:49 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
316.06 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:05:26 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
198.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:05:47 P.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a0021f2fc28c57e00ee42347b8b7259c274b1b264744d789911767f1f1952
316.06 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:05:26 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007b00737c47aaa56098dc9dc751323a5f40970e1e3e099cef183b7a8db55a3e
316.02 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:05:14 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000100474a45239e692741b30fa1517fdb027933eb155f6ab7a7aef0c45cc404
5.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:05:06 P.M.
From: 0x00242627257ce56AB5F2535baE0718509f654e4f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005c001f6cf85003d515a55a2cb58a86a85f9cb0544433f5a789e49f012dc22d
4.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:05:06 P.M.
From: 0x007D681158b62f8f3843793004d1abAF52C49a37
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001100194ba7a5de88ac8466649309279182b714c28cf48ab8b34aee8c015383