Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 2:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 2:38:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 2:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,814.14
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 2:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
16,343.14 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
15,785.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
557.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828
Net sender
Unknown type
471 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
471 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 16,343.14 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:38:16 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:37:06 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
16,814.14 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:39:26 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
319.99 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:35:56 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:34:45 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:40:36 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate7 tx
18,447.1 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:33:35 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:41:48 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
15,785.59 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:38:51 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
471 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:38:59 P.M.
From: 0x0022c1B667e980817159357df9E5496E826bA828
To: 0x0025F872aF1517f52eA96ddFAa1Fe2b13D8F06E1
Tx: 0x004b000a6c1e0fe10ebbe90e4565f5af158e7212b7de7d00ab40a5cd0dfa07f7
557.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:38:51 P.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a0029c32c95ded952d886dc6fd5655ca1c9ccd5916c73a35503d2091c71b9
15,785.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:38:51 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0003000a301469030edf75102b35a7f08f59a67175a2db8ef2d8b6f3115e33a7