Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 2:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 2:05:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 2:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 15.3
Unexplained QUAI: 3,007.12
Explained QI: 898.75
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
3.0x above local average
32x previous minute
82x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
44
Observable rows
7
15.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
54
Asset volume
3,022.42 QUAI
898.75 QI
Avg confidence
74.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 3022 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 2:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
898.76 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
898.76 QI across 3 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
13.3 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
Net sender
Unknown type
5.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
Net sender
Unknown type
4.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 898.75 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate44 tx
3,022.42 QUAI • 54 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:05:28 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
94.5 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:04:17 P.M.
-2 min
55 tx
1,960 QUAI • 69 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:03:05 P.M.
+2 min
9 tx
37 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:06:38 P.M.
-3 min
54 tx
2,754.84 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:01:54 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
4 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:07:49 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
30 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:00:44 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
150 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:09:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
315.82 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:05:25 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
291.46 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0054006d9104c0876d91e26a6545b091e86faaff6a17beff3cdb92c1508f58b2
291.46 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:05:49 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002000634c69faf65dd5bee6cf9146157c6e6d17eeb410a8cdd3e0c98f7a33c3
315.82 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:05:25 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0079000715e5528dbbac1246887930da3b2f328e2f483cda6bbe2235dd3ecc5f
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:05:25 P.M.
From: 0x000eA12Ac834460b54033ddF6E40f2e8C37A9871
To: 0x0024Cb6d759046ce67E846e2c1d38A37641cA367
Tx: 0x0035005dcce0f00572f7586a11602d6480ec26e8cdcf1885c71900ccd40e4ea0
3.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:05:25 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00260030e41dba4203307fadce63cb50dbd82325a05273aebf8f664d963a0837
5.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:05:25 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0045006962cee67b595588df9650865816c0055390e63cc5c76c958b9c214028
4.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:05:25 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00760034b2927541e4934b1a1f6640ceab445d4814464fd0318e99e0ef73198d