Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 2:03:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 2:03:00 P.M. to 08/02/2026, 2:04:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
5% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 94.5
Unexplained QUAI: 1,865.5
Explained QI: 1,214.88
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
0.7x previous minute
21x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
55
Observable rows
5
9.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
69
Asset volume
1,960 QUAI
1,214.88 QI
Avg confidence
86.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1960 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 2:03:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (5%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
1,214.88 QI across 4 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,214.88 QI across 4 visible rows
0x00080E78cEFe299953D7a31A5c1a7a13CAFFfa43
Net sender
Unknown type
94.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
94.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
4 repeated flows • 1,214.88 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
55 tx
1,960 QUAI • 69 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:03:05 P.M.
-1 min
54 tx
2,754.84 QUAI • 63 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:01:54 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
94.5 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:04:17 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
30 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:00:44 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate44 tx
3,022.42 QUAI • 54 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:05:28 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/02/2026, 1:59:33 P.M.
+4 min
9 tx
37 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:06:38 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
1 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 1:58:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
315.69 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:03:19 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
315.62 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:03:47 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0069002963d51c0b44f27c12a57d69963311ed796012eb815d1f656f6dc08520
315.69 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:03:19 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003000322662ca9f2263ca91b14ac9fc827804e759c6e310f56a98fff44a8960
291.78 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:03:11 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007e0070a35740a531206f24a46149d73d4cc6549c4a87fb272715f2dafb6339
291.78 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:03:11 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0069003ab689a7ce36ee9a320d0dfdba2aa83a1400482f04a89cdff9f9efc8e2
94.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:03:10 P.M.
From: 0x00080E78cEFe299953D7a31A5c1a7a13CAFFfa43
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0065002f1067d69e3f46ef5ad6f044b3df1645cfe3821c21cfb50ed08e8766e5