Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 11:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 11:38:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 11:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 13,468.42
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 617.59
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
617.59 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 11:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
13,468.42 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
11,191.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
Net sender
Unknown type
1,093.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
971.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
617.6 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 617.59 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 13,468.42 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:37:27 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:38:37 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
13,700.46 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:36:16 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
13,468.42 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:39:48 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:35:06 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
51.24 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:40:58 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate10 tx
15,415.26 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:33:54 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:42:09 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
11,191.71 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:38:49 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
211.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:38:49 A.M.
From: 0x004CA0901322E92A7730aea20896f588e1980F63
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00730019cddba91eed6040baa9d2265b2071adcc8fdd4fb9d86f32bde4167f13
971.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:38:49 A.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005d00085a94cdc8a7e3e19a51da71a1984a130137733b2d62f9ca542835729c
1,093.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:38:49 A.M.
From: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0067005fdeb504b1b9b091bb0cf14d1d7f6f3942af23cc0559221272e99081c3
11,191.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:38:49 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f006f049e5ceffb1c2427a2aca7c12dc90bd846dfcd40c502144fd06a54c5
308.8 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:38:48 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000e0043372b5aabc0bb9af7d5f63a248c773d781678baf5fbc43af42d77651d
308.79 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:38:31 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007e0025243d534563df2e7f9496e27b8b7250312cacbf5c575eddc27758b2aa
