Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 11:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 11:15:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 11:16:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
29% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,251.42
Unexplained QUAI: 2,999.2
Explained QI: 307.81
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.2x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
4,250.62 QUAI
307.81 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x003dCb1C71813EAf7E5590Efc597667fC5A8F693 • 0x007d6EFD51782aAaF15FE858bF9327358f8FB855.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 4251 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x003dCb1C71813EAf7E5590Efc597667fC5A8F693 • 0x007d6EFD51782aAaF15FE858bF9327358f8FB855.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 11:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (71% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (29%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x003dCb1C71813EAf7E5590Efc597667fC5A8F693
Net sender
Unknown type
1,251.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007d6EFD51782aAaF15FE858bF9327358f8FB855
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,251.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
307.82 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
307.82 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
4,250.62 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:15:01 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate6 tx
7,008.99 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:13:51 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
3,489.4 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:16:12 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:12:39 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:17:23 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:11:28 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:18:33 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 11:10:17 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,251.42 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:15:30 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003dCb1C71813EAf7E5590Efc597667fC5A8F693
To: 0x007d6EFD51782aAaF15FE858bF9327358f8FB855
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
307.81 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:15:36 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004a003a5933c0ef67fe8569561c5ca7bcef82c5b5cd37acc4bb772a917cc92f
1,251.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 11:15:30 A.M.
From: 0x003dCb1C71813EAf7E5590Efc597667fC5A8F693
To: 0x007d6EFD51782aAaF15FE858bF9327358f8FB855
Tx: 0x00730054c2b3df59a560b2c99bf1653caeaac203747ae7b4f71cf26659ed14f6