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Spike bucket

08/02/2026, 11:00:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/02/2026, 11:00:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 11:01:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

97% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 16,510.26

Unexplained QUAI: 470

Explained QI: 610.34

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 90% of explained volume

Relative context

2.7x above local average

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

98.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

16,980.26 QUAI

610.34 QI

Avg confidence

63.1%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006196d6E00E07A602653BffE4D940FdB214389a • 0x0028132bc39611Bb94B35DA801433c7feF24cF7D.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 16980 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006196d6E00E07A602653BffE4D940FdB214389a • 0x0028132bc39611Bb94B35DA801433c7feF24cF7D.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 53 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 08/02/2026, 11:00:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 53 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x006196d6E00E07A602653BffE4D940FdB214389a

Net sender

Unknown type

14,900 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0028132bc39611Bb94B35DA801433c7feF24cF7D

Net receiver

Unknown type

14,900 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da

Net sender

Unknown type

1,610.26 QUAI across 50 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771

Net receiver

Unknown type

961.41 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

610.34 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

2 repeated flows • 610.34 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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53 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 54. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.