Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 10:45:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 10:46:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
5% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 814.71
Unexplained QUAI: 15,739.27
Explained QI: 910.53
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.6x above local average
375x previous minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
23
Observable rows
4
17.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
38
Asset volume
16,553.98 QUAI
910.53 QI
Avg confidence
84.5%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 16554 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 10:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (5%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
910.53 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
910.53 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0025c9aA6F542AdEdB5851e6830e10fBb8f6F069
Net sender
Unknown type
814.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net receiver
Unknown type
814.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 910.53 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
23 tx
16,553.98 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:45:29 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
44.16 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:44:18 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
566.03 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:43:07 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:46:41 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
3.29 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:41:56 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:47:51 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate49 tx
33,481.68 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:40:42 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:49:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
814.71 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:45:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0025c9aA6F542AdEdB5851e6830e10fBb8f6F069
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
303.48 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:45:40 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00080015650a483ed22f054f5d9614c66480e90c8c4522028d821be8c13b81d9
303.48 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:45:14 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0074007231797b8a8769cfd9415ad2d14fc274b674fd2896e3f9bff82aa12e7d
814.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:45:12 A.M.
From: 0x0025c9aA6F542AdEdB5851e6830e10fBb8f6F069
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Tx: 0x0036005ee6ce18b73a7dab3fa307c4ff17dd22504ad9cefc567d1441350a9176
303.56 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:45:02 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006400128e983d72f9b494350e42e046a49082019e1eef9a059955531ed6dd36