Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 10:43:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 10:43:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 10:44:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
8% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 44.16
Unexplained QUAI: 521.87
Explained QI: 910.91
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
172x previous minute
13x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
566.03 QUAI
910.91 QI
Avg confidence
84.5%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 566 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 10:43:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
910.92 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
910.92 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0059E61e7e7C94EB24F76d8aA36c5a20965414fF
Net sender
Unknown type
44.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00189c8C19CC53eB59772A94452Df542053bf83A
Net receiver
Unknown type
44.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 910.91 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
566.03 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:43:07 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
3.29 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:41:56 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
44.16 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:44:18 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate49 tx
33,481.68 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:40:42 A.M.
+2 min
23 tx
16,553.98 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:45:29 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
84.1 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:39:31 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:46:41 A.M.
-5 min
3 tx
295.61 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:38:21 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
303.66 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:43:12 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
303.63 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:43:53 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0031005279ec7c3124995cd5f4921bc62c567e1c7eaa7ddab6c693453705084f
44.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:43:53 A.M.
From: 0x0059E61e7e7C94EB24F76d8aA36c5a20965414fF
To: 0x00189c8C19CC53eB59772A94452Df542053bf83A
Tx: 0x003e002db860517bc0b7b7925afbe253b96aa45d0ccd934ab85a2a40e9ba55b5
303.61 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:43:39 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0049000f831a402d49712e37528654f11cae0e22979d5d1ed59219c790eb7696
303.66 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:43:12 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0021000a1eb4241ad8cc76b2237e148870a2e07d412936894605d41190cac59c