Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 10:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 10:38:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 10:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
71% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 210.79
Unexplained QUAI: 84.81
Explained QI: 303.1
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.8x previous minute
3.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
295.61 QUAI
303.1 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 296 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c -> 0x0025c9aA6F542AdEdB5851e6830e10fBb8f6F069 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 10:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (29% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
303.11 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
303.11 QI across 1 visible row
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
Net sender
Unknown type
210.79 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0025c9aA6F542AdEdB5851e6830e10fBb8f6F069
Net receiver
Unknown type
210.79 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c → 0x0025c9aA6F542AdEdB5851e6830e10fBb8f6F069
3 repeated flows • 210.79 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
295.61 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:38:21 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
167.7 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:37:10 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
972.56 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:36:00 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
84.1 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:39:31 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:34:49 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate49 tx
33,481.68 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:40:42 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
556.97 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:33:39 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
3.29 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 10:41:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
303.1 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:38:38 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
42.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:38:56 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0025c9aA6F542AdEdB5851e6830e10fBb8f6F069
Tx: 0x00180017b21daef343eed90faed8295a6f612e0946fad3e2daa0986b28ddda54
303.1 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:38:38 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0062003f1cdbe181e3d80d23c1f332055b9d2e9fe1d6d86f4b00d55818e21999
42.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:38:24 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0025c9aA6F542AdEdB5851e6830e10fBb8f6F069
Tx: 0x002b0024152640bc774c967d978a87ba8dde1bf4b381b6f98a8dba1a7da5a609
126.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 10:38:07 A.M.
From: 0x00457027CBa75C32e0B0De7500fB86AA6608666c
To: 0x0025c9aA6F542AdEdB5851e6830e10fBb8f6F069
Tx: 0x0027005c06708c1993e142cea3af5ab7a40cab66e4c899a3aa5a9b9bd825fe8f