Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 7:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 7:33:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 7:34:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
37% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 557.59
Unexplained QUAI: 942.41
Explained QI: 777.23
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
2.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
1,500 QUAI
777.23 QI
Avg confidence
83.2%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1500 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00f9fB44394000688666F9C3C55b85ee43F1F8d9 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 7:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (37%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
779.55 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
556.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4
Net receiver
Unknown type
556.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
427.24 QI across 1 visible row
0x00f9fB44394000688666F9C3C55b85ee43F1F8d9
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.31 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00f9fB44394000688666F9C3C55b85ee43F1F8d9
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
1,500 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:33:20 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:32:09 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
557.59 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:34:31 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:29:49 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate4 tx
21,913.73 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:35:41 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
1,916.4 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:28:39 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:36:52 A.M.
+5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:38:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
556.97 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 7:33:18 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
427.23 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 7:33:35 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002f001f15df7ae2dd44addefc7220ec7d2e0834d62fdb6c13344c02e05acf72
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 7:33:31 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f9fB44394000688666F9C3C55b85ee43F1F8d9
Tx: 0x003a006ba4f1c77309d7b3537344ab158dbb8be90f2b4edd5c22aa76bc166626
0.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 7:33:22 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0011002eb4bb00d101ca476823243081e7a16000ad63d90cd574a18354da3ae4
556.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 7:33:18 A.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4
Tx: 0x001d00486c38852236f606ffbb8fbe135cbaf16e523e3dd523ca0ea63ee75043
2.31 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 7:33:03 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f9fB44394000688666F9C3C55b85ee43F1F8d9
Tx: 0x000800ee4174844643299456ffeedaf5ca61427a17bff140413d5d6111a22148