Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 7:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 7:13:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 7:14:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4.3
Unexplained QUAI: 552.67
Explained QI: 784.83
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
129x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
556.97 QUAI
784.83 QI
Avg confidence
84.7%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 557 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 7:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Balanced
Unknown type
784.83 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
434.83 QI across 1 visible row
0x00f16197a7Dd24afc61CA21d01f28ac5aC86b38f
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Net sender
Unknown type
4.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
4.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
556.97 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:13:18 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:12:07 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
4.3 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:14:29 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate3 tx
19,728.67 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:10:57 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:09:46 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:15:41 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
324.79 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:08:34 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 7:16:51 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
434.83 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 7:13:56 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
434.83 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 7:13:56 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0026002225d6e03f19538c220d52016890218dfe5d51c45a5e5a5bc6afcc48f1
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 7:13:56 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f16197a7Dd24afc61CA21d01f28ac5aC86b38f
Tx: 0x006a007467ac2426165c7ef23c6dd808396eeb0022e9c7b5e6ec326b38c000fc
4.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 7:13:26 A.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006c003026e4852372460e9d55577b8b0995d35af8bbf6e3c5193b3e7f57c268