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Spike bucket

08/02/2026, 6:08:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/02/2026, 6:08:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 6:09:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

59% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 60.02

Unexplained QUAI: 40.98

Explained QI: 787.57

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume

Relative context

0.0x above local average

1.7x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

83.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

101 QUAI

787.57 QI

Avg confidence

83.2%

Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + low confidence + 101 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x008CD31cA2b6b5efe3Ed15dAcceCB7613BaC12f4 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence low • Source address-path-single

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 08/02/2026, 6:08:00 A.M.

Coverage gap moderate (41% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (59%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net sender

Unknown type

789.82 QI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

437.58 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x008CD31cA2b6b5efe3Ed15dAcceCB7613BaC12f4

Net receiver

Unknown type

352.25 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B

Net sender

Unknown type

60.02 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796

Net receiver

Unknown type

49.9 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x008CD31cA2b6b5efe3Ed15dAcceCB7613BaC12f4

2 repeated flows • 350 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 6. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.