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Spike bucket

08/02/2026, 5:43:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/02/2026, 5:43:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 5:44:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

0% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 0

Unexplained QUAI: 557.97

Explained QI: 1,143.9

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 0% of explained volume

Relative context

0.4x above local average

279x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

62.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

557.97 QUAI

1,143.9 QI

Avg confidence

95.2%

Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00f84300263527E37D9C8F42607C9D721283adC7.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + low confidence + 558 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 27

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00f84300263527E37D9C8F42607C9D721283adC7.

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00f84300263527E37D9C8F42607C9D721283adC7 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence low • Source address-path-single

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Thin source coverage

Last updated: 08/02/2026, 5:43:00 A.M.

Coverage gap high (100% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net sender

Unknown type

1,143.91 QI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00f84300263527E37D9C8F42607C9D721283adC7

Net receiver

Unknown type

700 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

448.11 QI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0072954827753F3fF928bF6100d1e10730f7d7Cd

Net receiver

Unknown type

2.2 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004d0cAea87df590A6C4976523449D1473CBEA68

Net receiver

Unknown type

2 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00f84300263527E37D9C8F42607C9D721283adC7

2 repeated flows • 700 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 8. The remaining 3 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.