Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 5:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 5:31:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 5:32:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
7% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 81.56
Unexplained QUAI: 1,118.72
Explained QI: 793.39
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
4.9x above local average
1200x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
4
66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
1,200.28 QUAI
793.39 QI
Avg confidence
88.5%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1200 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00f84300263527E37D9C8F42607C9D721283adC7 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 5:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (93% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (7%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
795.59 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
443.39 QI across 1 visible row
0x00f84300263527E37D9C8F42607C9D721283adC7
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.2 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
81.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0032e1629eDf553A2c22E853166F2F312D3484E4
Net receiver
Unknown type
81.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00f84300263527E37D9C8F42607C9D721283adC7
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:30:38 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate6 tx
1,200.28 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:31:49 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
1 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:29:28 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
556.97 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:32:59 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
2 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:28:17 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
214.06 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:34:11 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:27:07 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:35:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
443.39 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:31:45 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:31:48 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f84300263527E37D9C8F42607C9D721283adC7
Tx: 0x007a0025f1c164b9dcdf79e417589a2ef22de071ecd9395e66b7eeffc2a1e6a3
443.39 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:31:45 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0005004113bb6f22270dd1d410031b90c9cf0968036d8ce6995a403ef2ea1bf2
81.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:31:21 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x0032e1629eDf553A2c22E853166F2F312D3484E4
Tx: 0x004500483c35011dedc052fbf7978e2613178c79146bc3c1fb3eab6edcae5ede
2.2 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:31:02 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f84300263527E37D9C8F42607C9D721283adC7
Tx: 0x002800aeaec1500e5a2ae67c346776689b413f0d561c14d2bfade94050945121