Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 5:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 5:23:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 5:24:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
11% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 66.71
Unexplained QUAI: 556.97
Explained QI: 886.09
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
175x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
6
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
623.68 QUAI
886.09 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 624 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 5:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (89% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (11%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
886.09 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
886.09 QI across 2 visible rows
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
66.71 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net sender
Unknown type
41.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
11.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 886.09 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
3.56 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:22:24 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
623.68 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:23:36 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:21:13 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:24:46 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
21,493.33 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:20:03 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
30 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:25:56 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:27:07 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
1,496.11 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:17:44 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
443.1 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:23:32 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
443.1 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:23:32 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001e00203e44bd6d8af707b0d6de60878c1fb34a64bd34c1fca5088b5accdf67
442.98 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:23:21 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0026005de89e2e31fb28de6d6853dc3dbeffab6a103f8222dc77028073f16205
41.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:23:04 A.M.
From: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006e004d6af6830ddeb2d9a6ecaaac1715e060db135998972ec1351bec047f6a
3.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:23:04 A.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004b0017ec99d20ddba8dc69cea3884a1fab6f8271dc044bf7a03199789384d9
11.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:23:04 A.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0034007ceed36bac936d8782a47ed65ae8d00b9b31434879e5f851df291c446d
11.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:23:04 A.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x006e0030910c11b75d6f86c6548bd75ce831ba9de6e4ec7160ce4ee60f931f28