Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 5:04:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 5:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
21% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 56.83
Unexplained QUAI: 218.71
Explained QI: 700
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
4
40.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
275.54 QUAI
700 QI
Avg confidence
90.5%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00f1eCed9A3EDc18B3eF0e7f2EBdC892b357a62E.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 276 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x00f1eCed9A3EDc18B3eF0e7f2EBdC892b357a62E.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x00f1eCed9A3EDc18B3eF0e7f2EBdC892b357a62E (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (79% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (21%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
702.2 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00f1eCed9A3EDc18B3eF0e7f2EBdC892b357a62E
Net receiver
Unknown type
702.2 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
56.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796
Net receiver
Unknown type
56.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x00f1eCed9A3EDc18B3eF0e7f2EBdC892b357a62E
3 repeated flows • 700 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
560.32 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:03:36 A.M.
+1 min
10 tx
275.54 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:04:47 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate57 tx
2,226.39 QUAI • 71 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:02:25 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
56.83 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:05:57 A.M.
-3 min
52 tx
1,708.71 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:01:12 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,142.77 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:07:08 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:00:01 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:08:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
350 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:04:50 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f1eCed9A3EDc18B3eF0e7f2EBdC892b357a62E
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
56.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:04:53 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x005C125815deAb4db0fE6d25e24E43972BCD6796
Tx: 0x00200068f3d7bd08fbc9d88f01992b061d104fbfc67a15ec436d9d8abdeef27e
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:04:50 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f1eCed9A3EDc18B3eF0e7f2EBdC892b357a62E
Tx: 0x00720048d556c76f496c499966e7f297c9dcbfa8a7e8061ce7995d553e819aeb
2.2 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:04:33 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f1eCed9A3EDc18B3eF0e7f2EBdC892b357a62E
Tx: 0x003600fbc6277b042361fab366b0efcf25f174889e51603522b59a9e067780a8
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f1eCed9A3EDc18B3eF0e7f2EBdC892b357a62E
Tx: 0x0068006c1745de70a20a9d557e455d45ea537e4599960760d768fd628d20d556