Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 5:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 5:03:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 5:04:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
49% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 275.54
Unexplained QUAI: 284.78
Explained QI: 792.32
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
560.32 QUAI
792.32 QI
Avg confidence
70.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 560 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 5:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (51% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (49%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Balanced
Unknown type
792.32 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
442.32 QI across 1 visible row
0x00f1eCed9A3EDc18B3eF0e7f2EBdC892b357a62E
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
275.54 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
183.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate57 tx
2,226.39 QUAI • 71 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:02:25 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
560.32 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:03:36 A.M.
-2 min
52 tx
1,708.71 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:01:12 A.M.
+2 min
10 tx
275.54 QUAI • 31 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:04:47 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:00:01 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
56.83 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:05:57 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:58:49 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,142.77 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 5:07:08 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
442.32 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:03:45 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
7.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:03:55 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002D650fce8F91D5d1d2389614d6f40577ef7aDe
Tx: 0x0044007d5493528336a7e8ba568e59867bbc9a412fb8d720914a6b2cd96503b9
3.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:03:55 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x002b004099191f55974aa18b5e29c303b72638014498125efec4257543bdc93d
35.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:03:55 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x0077006ba317bd8fa66b8c92347dc551e6cf694ddbc5bdda97b58ddd12315389
18.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:03:55 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x00470030cca1b68220161da58fe855e32da9b830316d6a1e2c95385960092672
183.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:03:55 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0022007c74bcefc3ad5da33e558a8d67155582cce2bc6139fea32b4c4eab9608
27.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:03:55 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x00160056d07e0f97929f08623a3fcb99ccbc44d66e05bab025681f724eda0fb9
442.32 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:03:45 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007400520976b24e8c17a7be0672d04c612762f417ed1abe26f8c06df053da3a
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 5:03:45 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00f1eCed9A3EDc18B3eF0e7f2EBdC892b357a62E
Tx: 0x005000da7cdfc82594e469cb5d8fe585e8dd76bf4ff27760ee2887b9ff4cda7e